From John Regan:
Next Monday (July
16th), Martin Ryan and Alan Fernihough will be presenting their ongoing
research as part of the Summer Seminar Series.
Martin's presentation will be on "Econometric
Analysis of Scientific Production at U.S. Universities: A Preliminary Examination
of Researchers' Publication Output" and Alan will be presenting on "The Fertility Transition did not Influence Infant
Mortality: Evidence from Early Modern Germany".
Seminars take place in the Geary Seminar Room from 1pm to 2pm each week until
the end of July. Each presentation, with time for questions, will last
about 30 minutes.
Showing posts with label fertility transition. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fertility transition. Show all posts
Friday, July 13, 2012
Thursday, July 05, 2012
The Historical Fertility Transition: A Guide for Economists
Posted by
Mark McGovern
Guinnane, Timothy W. 2011. "The Historical Fertility Transition: A Guide for Economists." Journal of Economic Literature, 49(3): 589–614.
The historical fertility transition is the process by which much of Europe and North America went from high to low fertility in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. This transformation is central to recent accounts of long-run economic growth. Prior to the transition, women bore as many as eight children each, and the elasticity of fertility with respect to incomes was positive. Today, many women have no children at all, and the elasticity of fertility with respect to incomes is zero or even negative. This paper discusses the large literature on the historical fertility transition, focusing on what we do and do not know about the process. I stress some possible misunderstanding of the demographic literature, and discuss an agenda for future work. (JEL I12, J13, N30)
The historical fertility transition is the process by which much of Europe and North America went from high to low fertility in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. This transformation is central to recent accounts of long-run economic growth. Prior to the transition, women bore as many as eight children each, and the elasticity of fertility with respect to incomes was positive. Today, many women have no children at all, and the elasticity of fertility with respect to incomes is zero or even negative. This paper discusses the large literature on the historical fertility transition, focusing on what we do and do not know about the process. I stress some possible misunderstanding of the demographic literature, and discuss an agenda for future work. (JEL I12, J13, N30)
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