Showing posts with label fertility transition. Show all posts
Showing posts with label fertility transition. Show all posts

Friday, July 13, 2012

UCD Summer Seminar Series

From John Regan:

Next Monday (July 16th), Martin Ryan and Alan Fernihough will be presenting their ongoing research as part of the Summer Seminar Series.

Martin's presentation will be on 
"Econometric Analysis of Scientific Production at U.S. Universities: A Preliminary Examination of Researchers' Publication Output"  and Alan will be presenting on "The Fertility Transition did not Influence Infant Mortality: Evidence from Early Modern Germany". 

Seminars take place in the Geary Seminar Room from 1pm to 2pm each week until the end of July. Each presentation, with time for questions, will last about 30 minutes.

Thursday, July 05, 2012

The Historical Fertility Transition: A Guide for Economists

Guinnane, Timothy W. 2011. "The Historical Fertility Transition: A Guide for Economists." Journal of Economic Literature, 49(3): 589–614.

 
The historical fertility transition is the process by which much of Europe and North America went from high to low fertility in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. This transformation is central to recent accounts of long-run economic growth. Prior to the transition, women bore as many as eight children each, and the elasticity of fertility with respect to incomes was positive. Today, many women have no children at all, and the elasticity of fertility with respect to incomes is zero or even negative. This paper discusses the large literature on the historical fertility transition, focusing on what we do and do not know about the process. I stress some possible misunderstanding of the demographic literature, and discuss an agenda for future work. (JEL I12, J13, N30)