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Monday, June 09, 2014

Goldman Sach's World Cup 2014 predictions

With the World Cup starting in a few days I thought I'd highlight that Goldman Sachs have a 67 page report called "The World Cup and Economics 2014". Selected highlights below.

1. Here is the World Cup 2014 Dream Team, as selected by Goldman's clients:

2. Groups and statistics (GS Probability is the Goldman Sach's predicted probability of winning the tournament I think).

3. Predicted knockout rounds and their prediction of Brazil as the winner.

The report also has an interview with Franz Beckenbauer, a discussion of the method used to create their statistical model and many other things. Check it out.

2 comments:

  1. Michael9912:05 pm

    Confidence in Brazil to win is very high. Wonder have they put any money behind this given the odds are 3/1 and they think it is closer to 2/1.

    Goldman Sachs clients selection... not the folk I'd usually be asking for soccer advice, or advice on any non-financial matter but looks good!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Unknown9:11 am

    After last night perhaps they know something about the refereeing Brazil is likely to receive that we don't

    ReplyDelete