Monday, June 02, 2008

Black Market Economics in Ireland

The Irish National Accounts are below

http://www.cso.ie/statistics/nationalacc.htm

The estimates for public expenditure are here

http://www.finance.gov.ie/ViewDoc.asp?DocId=-1&CatID=13&m=f

If you look around the CSO websites, you can get a rough idea of how much money and people are in the legal part of the economy. However, there is a lot less known about the hidden part of the economy.

In general, there has been little influence of economics on the debate in crime in Ireland with law and sociology being the dominant disciplines in the field along with psychology. This might make sense but there is still a big gap in our understanding of the economic aspects of criminal markets and too few papers being circulated on the topic. Below are just some random links that might stimulate someone thinking of potential topics for next year.

Steven Levitt's homepage contains downloadable copies of his papers that offer several methodologies for examining illicit markets.

http://pricetheory.uchicago.edu/levitt/home.html

The publications of the UCD Institute of Criminology are below and there is much useful data here.

http://www.ucd.ie/criminol/Publications.htm

http://www.esr.ie/Vol34_3OSullivan.pdf


The National Crime Council offer a literature list

http://www.irlgov.ie/crimecouncil/research_cri.html


The Irish Crime Figures can be found here

http://www.garda.ie/annreport.html


A review of the economics of crime is given below

http://ideas.repec.org/h/eee/labchp/3-52.html


A number of topics are relevant in terms of economics of crime in Ireland that we now little about.


Drug Consumption is detailed in a number of descriptive works such as the one below.

“NACD and DAIRU (2003) Drug use in Ireland and Northern Ireland: First results from the 2002–2003 drug prevalence study. Bulletin 1. Dublin: National Advisory Committee on Drugs (NACD) and Drug and Alcohol Information and Research Unit, (DAIRU).”

http://www.nacd.ie/publications/documents/Bulletin1CIFinal.pdf
http://www.irlgov.ie/crimecouncil/research_dru.html

Prostitution: Several recent economics papers have outlined theories of prostitution.

http://ideas.repec.org/a/ucp/jpolec/v110y2002i1p181-214.html

http://ideas.repec.org/p/rdg/emxxdp/em-dp2004-13.html

In terms of economic crimes:

Fuel Smuggling is widely discussed in the media.

http://www.rte.ie/news/2007/1219/northcrime.html?rss

Burglary in Ireland is analysed in the following working paper by Denny et al

http://www.ucd.ie/geary/publications/2004/crime.pdf

Crime Gangs are widely discussed in the popular media and in a number of books. Levitt's work on this is widely known.

6 comments:

Kevin Denny said...

My feeling is that the problems in measuring crime are horrendous.Maybe not with some crimes like murder but with white collar crime for example. Of course there are crimes against taste too like a certain person's shirts.
There are interesting statistical issues about how one might infer the size of the black economy. This "dark matter" problem occurs in lots of contexts for example assessing the extent of publication bias in clinical trials or in war assessing the size of the enemy's strength from captured weapons etc [the Germans conveniently had serial numbers on their V2 rockets which made it easier as the Allies advanced east]. On the whole I would prefer to just analyze good data.

Liam Delaney said...

that's partly what's interesting about the economics of crime - it requires a lot of thought in constructing solid ways of testing hypotheses. the recent paper that showed that the stock prices of certain gun companies went up when guns were made illegal in some of their markets is one methodology. shapiro's paper on estimating the effects of being put in to harsh prisons on recidivism is another. my problem in the irish case is that there are clear welfare effects of crime that dont end up in economic debates.

Michael99 said...
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Michael99 said...
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Michael99 said...

The oakland police have begun to map crimes which occur in cerain areas: crimespotting

A site where victims, (or self-defeating criminals), can post up what type of crimes occcurred, in certain areas, at which times, may be useful. This could be superimposed on geographic visualisations of actual crime data to try and identify some of the dark-matter, or at least it would be a useful alternative tourist map.

Michael99 said...

there's a problem with the crimespotting link, the site's available here if anyone is interested in seeing what computer literate police can do:

http://oakland.crimespotting.org